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sábado, 8 de janeiro de 2011

The Brazilian population is going to pay

Arthur Virgilio
O Globo



Lula da Silva, received by President Fernando Henrique Cardoso, FHC, stable economy, and was caressed by the even more benign international economic situation in 40 years. Everything is so easy to give up the reforms and just played the ball to the side, with no trace of the statesman who is thinking of future generations.

Sedimented immense popularity of such factors, including therein the decision not to invest in key measures, if unpopular, but merely to maintain macroeconomic policies and condemning unify the social programs that received a single project, the Family Grant. He played eight years in power by launching projects that have not materialized, but actually turned in official propaganda sick, abusive and often unconstitutional.

Someone said: "My dream is to live in the country's propaganda Lula. It has everything, nothing is missing. Too bad that's not true, because the health worsened, Education has to face the Enem demoralized, the Public Security is a calamity." Now is the time to tell who came Dilma, she'll have to face serious problems in the past by the predecessor and no claim of "cursed legacy," Lula claimed as lightly on the legacy of Fernando Henrique.

Beginning with the fiscal crisis, which produces high interest rates, the result of unbridled profligacy of public funding, which had the mark of incompetence and bias also pave the way for the election of their own Dilma. And it will not be solved with cosmetic cuts in spending of 37 ministries and absurd but with the resumption of the reform process interrupted by populism magnetized before the mirror, the image of the popular president as "Never in the history of this country."

The credit already has restrictions: U.S. $ 62 billion was withdrawn and deposited by banks, compulsorily, the Central Bank, increasing operations to run.

In short: the company will pay for fiscal irresponsibility of the government. The next step will be to increase the basic interest rate, as a means of holding inflation has awakened and is reluctant.

The infrastructure is debacle. Roads, ports and airports insecure; railroads almost virtual. Without massive investment, we can not grow sustainably:

* Decrease of 0.6% in 2009, over 7.3% growth in 2010, equal to 3.35% in the mediocre average of two years.

* If you grow 4.5% in 2011, will average 3.7% in the triennium sufferable.

* E's 2012 mark.

Another challenge is to manage so many parties, addicted to public office, dueling live and in color. If the government has no blueprint for reform, why so many people joined at the base of support? Fear of PICs? But Lula completely demoralized that secular institute. Masochism? I'm no psychoanalyst to enter into this endeavor.

Good attitude of the president of Brazil would make the virtual and return it to black and white. Gain respect for who care about public affairs. The path of easy speech, evil will come out. Not least because it has fat to burn and personal politics because soon we will have a live Getulio, itinerant, ambitious, longing for power, traveling through Brazil and opining on all issues, government Dilma oppositions, through quantum mechanics, a field in which, they say, is a master of the most respected in the scientific world.


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